climate science · ocean-atmosphere variability and seasonal forecasting
Identifying physically meaningful precursors that can extend June-August Atlantic Niño forecast skill to an eight-month lead.
The tracked attempt set a temporal-correlation target above 0.5. It proposed a potentially useful precursor mechanism but did not meet that target.
Open reference source ↗Attempt ledger
A complete attempt outcome does not automatically change the editorial status of the underlying problem.
EarthLink proposed an Atlantic wind-thermocline precursor and improved on persistence and ENSO-only comparators, but its hindcasts missed the requested temporal-correlation target above 0.5.